My top NFL parlay picks were pretty ambitious last week. They didn’t pan out, but I certainly hit some picks that some didn’t see coming.
The big one was the Browns upsetting the Steelers, while the Colts ATS and Baltimore winning were two other bets that converted.
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I was pretty surprised to see Derrick Henry struggle so badly, while Washington’s offense was somehow pretty darn good with a street free agent quarterback running the show.
The Rams vs. Seahawks game also should have been a snoozer, yet it exploded and tallied 50 total points.
My NFL parlay failed, but if you cut the parlay down or attacked those three bets individually, perhaps you still had a winning week.
I’m back for more for the 2021 NFL Divisional Round, but this week I’ll probably reign in my ambitious streak a bit.
Let’s see which NFL parlay picks for the 2021 Divisional Round stand out.
This bet asks what the total points across the entire 2021 NFL Divisional Round will be. To compare to last week, the Wild Card round had 303 total points.
Naturally, that has this week’s total looking super low.
Last week was also not projected to be nearly as high-scoring as this week, either. The Wild Card round featured some pretty slow teams in Chicago, Washington, and Seattle.
This week, three of the four games have totals set at 50+, and all of them could easily go over. You don’t need all of them to hit the Over to give yourself a shot here, though, and I think 203.5 is beatable.
I’ve been talking up the Rams to start the week, and they’ve graced two of my NFL Divisional Round betting posts already.
I like them as a potential upset, and their 7-point spread has them coming in as one of the safest NFL bets in the 2021 NFL Divisional Round.
Naturally, I feel obliged to include them in my Divisional Round NFL parlay picks.
Obviously, I could just be looking at this game completely wrong. If you tend to think so, perhaps checking out this Rams vs. Packers NFL betting preview will be more your speed.
Green Bay is the top offense, they’re healthy, well-rested, and will be at home. All of that makes them stand out (and could make me look silly), and that’s before you start looking at the rash of injuries that could derail the Rams.
But Sean McVay is a mastermind, Aaron Donald is a force up front, and Cam Akers is a rising star.
It still amazes me how the Rams slow played Cam Akers. Yes, he had some pass pro concerns and the ribs injury sapped developmental time, but, damn, the kid is a tackle-shredding machine.
Very much a top-20 fantasy RB in 2021 drafts.
With the Packers not having top offensive tackle David Bahktiari on hand (out for season) and their defense previously having issues against the run, this feels like a bad matchup for the green and gold.
I won’t go all the way with the upset play for my NFL parlay here, but the Rams ATS looks very good on paper.
Ravens vs. Bills Over 50 (-110)
Another bet I love and feel had to be in my NFL parlay picks for the 2021 NFL Divisional Round is the Over for this Ravens vs. Bills clash.
Baltimore did slow things down in a tight 20-13 win last week, but I tend to think they won’t have that luxury in Buffalo. Josh Allen and co. have one of the league’s best offenses, and they don’t really run the ball that much.
That likely means Allen will come out swinging for the fences early (and get the game humming along), or the Ravens put up points and force the Bills to throw like they want to, anyway.
Best Parlay Betting Sites Real Money
Both of these offenses have explosive ability, and I don’t think the opposing defenses will be able to consistently or effectively limit either offense.
This projects as a fun shootout and the reasonable total puts the Over very much in play.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (+145)
Here’s my big value bet for the Divisional Round. It’s always possible there just aren’t any upsets this week, of course.
Every single underdog is on the road, and the four home teams are quite good. Going into Kansas City, Buffalo, New Orleans, or Green Bay and getting a win is, well, not easy.
So, if you just don’t want to bet on any upset picks this week, I don’t blame you.
Even so, Tom Brady and co. just hung 31 points on a pretty decency Washington defense, and they’re as talented as anyone.
And they know it.
Parley Site
The Bucs also have a nasty taste in their mouths after a 38-3 beatdown by the Saints earlier this year. It’s tough to beat any team a third time, and I have a feeling Tompa Brady moves on to the NFC title game.
Top 2021 Divisional Round NFL Parlay Bet
- Total Points Over 203.5 (-115)
- Los Angeles Rams (+7) -120
- Ravens vs. Bills Over 50 (-110)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (+145)
Last week’s NFL parlay was pretty insane when it came to what you could have won. It only got half the picks right, though, because it was also overly ambitious.
Hindsight is always 20/20, but I can still admit it was on the risky side. Any parlay is, but this week’s is a tad more tame. I think there’s still some value here, however, as $100 would turn this week’s NFL parlay picks into $739.75 at Bovada.
I love the Rams to beat the spread, and I have them in my 2021 Divisional Round NFL upset picks. You only have four games to work with, though, so for this NFL parlay, I’ll stick to just one underdog play to wrap things up.
If you want to go the extra mile and add the Rams on as +255 underdogs instead of playing it safe ATS, though, that ups the payout to $1,526.05.
As usual, you can add NFL parlay picks to what I’m giving you, or you can take 1-2 picks off. You also are free to shop for better prices at other NFL betting websites or just target all of these bets individually.
Whatever you do, I wish you luck. Thanks for stopping by, and enjoy the games!
Parlay bets are wagers where multiple teams are selected to win, linking them onto a single ticket. Instead of making multiple straight bets, parlays offer increased odds, giving handicappers the chance to turn a small bet into a large payday. With each team added to a ticket, the higher the odds.
In order to win a parlay bet, every team on the ticket must win. For example, if you’re 6-0 on a 7-team parlay, the last team needs to win, otherwise the entire ticket is lost.
* The best parlay odds online are offered at Sportsinteraction.com
Different sports, point spreads, money lines, and totals can all be combined onto a single parlay ticket. If any game within a parlay results in a push, the parlay reverts down by one game. For example, if you had a six team parlay with one push, the payout would be based on five team parlay odds.
Best Sportsbooks on the Internet for Parlay Betting
For frequent parlay betting, Bet365 offers some of the best daily odds for parlays of 9 teams or less. Here is a quick comparison chart for point spread parlay odds.
Teams | Bet365.com – Every Day | Most Sportsbooks |
2 | 2.6/1 | 2.6/1 |
3 | 6.5/1 | 6/1 |
4 | 12/1 | 10/1 |
5 | 25/1 | 20/1 |
6 | 45/1 | 40/1 |
7 | 80/1 | 75/1 |
8 | 150/1 | 100/1 – 150/1 |
9 | 300/1 | 150/1 – 300/1 |
10 | 500/1 | 300/1 – 700/1 |
11 | 750/1 | 450/1 – 1200/1 |
12 | 1000/1 | 600/1 – 1800/1 |
Parlay Bet Calculations
Parlays can be placed on NFL and NBA basketball games using the point spread, or any sport using the money line. When making parlay bets on games using a point spread, most sportsbooks stay within a certain range of odds until they get above 8 team parlays. At 8 team parlays and bigger, there’s a fairly wide range of odds that are offered.
Since the odds on money line bets vary, the odds are calculated differently. When money line bets are added to a parlay ticket, obviously the odds of each individual game have to be factored into the payout calculation.
Useful Tips & Strategy
Instead of placing parlay bets with lots of teams on them, split them into multiple, smaller tickets. We recommend keeping your parlay bets down to 2-5 teams per ticket. This will increase your odds of winning, keeping your bankroll replenished with smaller, more frequent wins. Also, with each team added to a parlay ticket, the house takes a larger edge. When you get into 6+ team parlays, the house edge grows considerably.
With each team added to a parlay, the smaller the bet amount should be. Some professional handicappers suggest a maximum of 2-3% of a bankroll, but we recommend that with increased odds and decreased chances of winning, to respectively lower the % of your bankroll committed to the parlay.
Make sure the final game on every parlay is scheduled to begin after every other game ends. Give yourself a bit of time to place a side bet and protect a potentially large win. For example, if you’re 4-0 going into the 5th and final game of your parlay, you stand to make a nice win if the final team wins. If they lose, your parlay loses too. Instead of risking the entire parlay, place a side bet for a guaranteed win.
For example, if the final game is between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles, and your parlay has the Eagles, place a bet for the amount of money you want to guarantee on the Giants. If you have a 5 team, $50 parlay on the spread at 20/1, you stand to win $1000. Placing a $250 side bet on the Giants will return a $227 profit at -110. Minus out the $50 on the parlay, and you’ve guaranteed yourself a profit of $177 no matter who wins. If your parlay bet wins, you still take home a big win.
How to Win Big
With the parlay odds chart above, you can see that the opportunity to win big by parlay betting is definitely there. If you’re a professional handicapper looking to hit big, try to follow the proper bankroll management strategy. Don’t risk too much on parlays with a lot of teams on them.
For casual punters looking to have some fun, forget everything mentioned above and go have some fun. Keep in mind, if you’re going after a large parlay, don’t risk money you cannot easily afford to lose. Parlay bets are difficult to win, and Mr. Furley expects the rent payment next month.
But, if you’re looking for a big win, register at Sportsinteraction.com. Four team parlays pay 12/1 instead of 10/1. A seven team parlay pays 80/1 odds instead of 75/1. Nine team parlays pay 300/1 instead of 150/1.
For our own sense of responsibility, we want to remind anyone reading this that parlay betting for big wins can be a very risky, losing proposition. Please do not bet with money you cannot easily afford to lose.
Since you’re asking for it, here’s our next tip for hitting big parlay wins.
Use the money line instead of the point spread. Pick a 5-6 team underdog parlay with money line odds in the +110 through +160 range. Underdogs will pay much better than favorites, and the odds dramatically increase. Don’t go too crazy, putting 10 underdogs onto one parlay (unless you’ve recently spotted a unicorn). Keep it down to a more reasonable number of dogs that need to win.